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{"id":2755,"date":"2021-01-28T04:44:49","date_gmt":"2021-01-28T04:44:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.certifiedfinancialguardian.com\/?p=2755"},"modified":"2021-01-28T05:01:15","modified_gmt":"2021-01-28T05:01:15","slug":"sensex-hits-50000-mark-ahead-of-union-budget-2021-how-mutual-funds-fared-and-the-investment-strategy-to-follow-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.certifiedfinancialguardian.com\/index.php\/2021\/01\/28\/sensex-hits-50000-mark-ahead-of-union-budget-2021-how-mutual-funds-fared-and-the-investment-strategy-to-follow-now\/","title":{"rendered":"Sensex Hits 50,000-Mark Ahead Of Union Budget 2021. How Mutual Funds Fared and the Investment Strategy to Follow Now"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

New Year celebrations continued on Dalal Street as the S&P BSE Sensex scaled to a new high on January 21, 2021, and crossed a major psychological milestone of 50,000 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Indian equity market has come a long way since the S&P BSE Sensex –a 30-scrip free-float market cap index — was launched on January 2, 1986, with the base value of 100. Over the last 35 years, India’s bellwether index has yielded a Compounded Annualized Growth Rate (CAGR) of around 20% — an enviable return by any standard. It reinforces the popular saying: Time in the market matters more than timing the market.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

That said, I caution you against holding onto your equity mutual fund investments for the long haul without taking stock of their performance and ensuring that they remain relevant for you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Just because you stick to equity mutual fund schemes for a longer time frame, doesn’t necessarily mean it will prove highly rewarding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

You will be surprised to know, certain diversified equity mutual funds have underperformed the Nifty 500 Total Return Index (TRI) on an average over the last 1-year, 3-year and 5-year time periods. The outperformance of the equity category as a whole has occurred only on 7-year, 10-year and 20-year time frames. Here as well, the data is interesting (See Table 1): Not all equity mutual fund schemes have been able to outperform the Nifty 500 TRI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 1: Selecting the right mutual fund scheme matters\u2026<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n
\n\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t
<\/td>\n\t\t\tTime frame<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
1 Year<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\t2 Years<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\t3 Years<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\t5 Years<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\t7 Years<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\t10 Years<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\t20 Years<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
Number of diversified equity schemes considered for analysis<\/td>\n\t\t\t180<\/td>\n\t\t\t164<\/td>\n\t\t\t152<\/td>\n\t\t\t145<\/td>\n\t\t\t133<\/td>\n\t\t\t124<\/td>\n\t\t\t32<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
Number of schemes outperforming the Nifty 500 TRI<\/td>\n\t\t\t56<\/td>\n\t\t\t67<\/td>\n\t\t\t33<\/td>\n\t\t\t30<\/td>\n\t\t\t74<\/td>\n\t\t\t76<\/td>\n\t\t\t21<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
Percentage of outperforming schemes<\/td>\n\t\t\t31%<\/td>\n\t\t\t41%<\/td>\n\t\t\t22%<\/td>\n\t\t\t21%<\/td>\n\t\t\t56%<\/td>\n\t\t\t61%<\/td>\n\t\t\t66%<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/center>\n\n\n\n

Data as of January 21, 2021
(Source: ACE MF, PersonalFN Research) <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moreover, some of the industry’s oldest equity mutual fund schemes have disappointed investors despite a remarkable rally of the Indian equity markets. Out of 32 schemes that have been in existence for 2 decades or more, only 1 scheme has been able to make it to the top-10 list of diversified equity schemes on a 3-year time period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Table 2: Top-performing equity diversified funds<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n
\n\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t
Scheme Name<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\tInception Date<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\tAbsolute (%)<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\tCAGR (%)<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
1
\n\t\t\tYear<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\t
2
\n\t\t\tYears<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\t
3
\n\t\t\tYears<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\t
5
\n\t\t\tYears<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\t
7
\n\t\t\tYears<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\t
10
\n\t\t\tYears<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t\t
20
\n\t\t\tYears<\/strong><\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
Axis Bluechip Fund <\/a><\/td>\n\t\t\tJanuary 5, 2010<\/td>\n\t\t\t21.4<\/td>\n\t\t\t20.3<\/td>\n\t\t\t15.1<\/td>\n\t\t\t17.4<\/td>\n\t\t\t16.3<\/td>\n\t\t\t13.5<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
IIFL Focused Equity Fund<\/a><\/td>\n\t\t\tOctober 30, 2014<\/td>\n\t\t\t27.4<\/td>\n\t\t\t27.7<\/td>\n\t\t\t15.0<\/td>\n\t\t\t19.2<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
UTI Equity Fund<\/a><\/td>\n\t\t\tMay 18, 1992<\/td>\n\t\t\t33.3<\/td>\n\t\t\t23.4<\/td>\n\t\t\t15.0<\/td>\n\t\t\t17.6<\/td>\n\t\t\t17.2<\/td>\n\t\t\t14.0<\/td>\n\t\t\t17.1<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
Quant Active Fund<\/a><\/td>\n\t\t\tMarch 20, 2001<\/td>\n\t\t\t46.8<\/td>\n\t\t\t25.4<\/td>\n\t\t\t14.8<\/td>\n\t\t\t18.6<\/td>\n\t\t\t21.6<\/td>\n\t\t\t14.0<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
Axis Multicap Fund<\/a><\/td>\n\t\t\tNovember 17, 2017<\/td>\n\t\t\t20.2<\/td>\n\t\t\t19.2<\/td>\n\t\t\t14.7<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
Canara Rob Bluechip Equity Fund<\/a><\/td>\n\t\t\tAugust 20, 2010<\/td>\n\t\t\t26.1<\/td>\n\t\t\t21.3<\/td>\n\t\t\t14.4<\/td>\n\t\t\t17.3<\/td>\n\t\t\t15.6<\/td>\n\t\t\t13.0<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
Axis Midcap Fund<\/a><\/td>\n\t\t\tFebruary 18, 2011<\/td>\n\t\t\t26.4<\/td>\n\t\t\t22.1<\/td>\n\t\t\t13.5<\/td>\n\t\t\t17.7<\/td>\n\t\t\t20.8<\/td>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
Quant Small Cap Fund<\/a><\/td>\n\t\t\tOctober 16, 1996<\/td>\n\t\t\t73.6<\/td>\n\t\t\t19.5<\/td>\n\t\t\t13.2<\/td>\n\t\t\t10.8<\/td>\n\t\t\t10.5<\/td>\n\t\t\t9.1<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
PGIM India Diversified Equity Fund<\/a><\/td>\n\t\t\tMarch 4, 2015<\/td>\n\t\t\t37.2<\/td>\n\t\t\t25.3<\/td>\n\t\t\t12.2<\/td>\n\t\t\t16.4<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
Canara Rob Equity Diver Fund<\/a><\/td>\n\t\t\tSeptember 16, 2003<\/td>\n\t\t\t24.5<\/td>\n\t\t\t18.8<\/td>\n\t\t\t12.2<\/td>\n\t\t\t16.6<\/td>\n\t\t\t15.4<\/td>\n\t\t\t12.6<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t
NIFTY 500 – TRI<\/td>\n\t\t\t–<\/td>\n\t\t\t21.6<\/td>\n\t\t\t15.8<\/td>\n\t\t\t8.6<\/td>\n\t\t\t15.9<\/td>\n\t\t\t15.0<\/td>\n\t\t\t11.4<\/td>\n\t\t\t15.2<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/center>\n\n\n\n

Data as of January 21, 2021
(Source: ACE MF, PersonalFN Research) <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Does that mean equity mutual fund schemes featuring in Table 2 are the ideal ones for your portfolio? Not necessarily.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It would be unwise to lay too much emphasis on the returns generated by any equity mutual fund scheme in the recent past and invest in it, expecting that the past performance might repeat in the future as well. That may not be the case.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To understand how an equity mutual fund scheme would perform in the future, evaluate how the scheme has fared across market cycles (bulls and bears), and it is worthwhile looking at some of the qualitative aspects such as the following:<\/p>\n\n\n\n